Facts matter. That’s why in all of my books, including the just-published Membership Marketing from A to Z, I have relied on thousands of survey responses over the past 18 years from MGI’s Membership Marketing Benchmarking Report.
MGI
just released the top-line findings for this year’s
research,
with the full report to follow in the coming weeks. Before looking at the new data, let’s dive
into the trends over the past nearly two decades. It is clear that in some
years, growth seems widespread. In other years, membership declines dominate
the conversation. And when we see a weaker year, it is easy to conclude that
something is fundamentally broken.
But
based on these many years of results, something interesting becomes clear.
Membership growth tends to follow cycles and, over time, often returns to a
historical norm.
This
year’s newly released data from the 2026 Membership Marketing Benchmarking
Report shows that 39 percent of associations reported an increase in
membership, 30 percent reported a decline, and 31 percent reported no change.
At
first glance, those results may seem disappointing compared with recent years. In
2023, nearly half of associations (49 percent) reported growth. In 2024, 47
percent reported growth. And in 2025, 45 percent reported gains.
Has
something suddenly gone wrong? Perhaps not. To understand the present, it helps
to consider the broader historical context.
Over
the past 18 years, associations have navigated numerous disruptions. The Great
Recession significantly affected membership across many organizations. In 2010,
nearly half of associations (48 percent) reported membership declines. More
recently, COVID disrupted virtually every aspect of association operations,
from conferences to professional engagement. By 2021, only 26 percent of
associations reported membership growth, while 47 percent reported declines.
Yet
in both cases, the story did not end there. Membership rebounded. After the
pandemic, many associations experienced several strong years of recovery.
Organizations restored member relationships, regained lost renewals, and
benefited from heightened demand for professional information, advocacy,
workforce support, and community.
Viewed
through this lens, the 2026 results may indicate something other than a
decline. They may reflect normalization.
In
statistics, the concept of regression to the mean, the tendency for
unusually high or low results to drift back toward the average over time, applies.
Although association membership trends are more complex than a simple
statistical model, the principle offers an interesting lens. Extraordinary periods,
whether unusually positive or negative, rarely persist indefinitely. The data
suggest that association membership may follow a similar pattern.
After
disruptions, growth rebounds. After unusually strong periods, results often
moderate. Over the long run, membership performance tends to settle into a
relatively consistent range.
Across
nearly two decades of benchmarking, roughly 40 to 50 percent of associations
typically report growth, about 25 to 30 percent report declines, and another
quarter to one-third remain flat. That consistency is remarkable given the
economic cycles, inflation, demographic shifts, technological disruption, and
changing workforce patterns associations have faced.
If
that interpretation is correct, the lesson for association leaders is an
important one: Do not overreact to a single year's data. During difficult
periods, it is tempting to cut marketing budgets, reduce recruitment efforts,
or assume that membership decline is inevitable. Conversely, during periods of
strong growth, organizations may mistakenly assume that momentum will continue on
its own. Both assumptions can be dangerous.
Growth
still depends on fundamentals. Associations that continue to invest in
recruitment, refine their value proposition, engage members, and adapt to
evolving professional needs are far more likely to outperform over time.
Economic conditions matter. Disruptions matter. But long-term discipline
matters most.
Perhaps
the key takeaway from 18 years of research is not that membership growth
fluctuates, but that associations are remarkably resilient. Despite the
challenges, a meaningful share of associations continue to grow year after
year. The challenge for leaders is not to predict every disruption. It is to
stay focused on the long-term drivers of relevance and value. Organizations
that remain committed to growth are usually best positioned when the next cycle
begins.
Additional
membership guidance can be found in the books The Seven Deadly Sins of
Membership Marketing, Membership Recruitment, and the just-released Membership
Marketing from A to Z. All are
available on Amazon.











